Publication

The future of the fragile ceasefire reached by Israel and Iran with the “participation” of the United States is difficult to predict.

On June 20, 2025, it became known that the Milli Majlis of Azerbaijan adopted in the first reading a bill according to which the Cabinet of Ministers of the Nakhijevan Autonomous Republic (NAR) will determine its work procedure “in agreement with the President of Azerbaijan”.

The processes of geopolitical redivision in the Middle East, which began with the U.S. invasion of Iraq in March 2003, has had numerous unpredictable consequences. One of the most significant and alarming results has been the growing phenomenon – de-Christianization of the region.

The possibility of a ground invasion of the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) remains a matter of debate. According to Middle East insider sources on June 16, 2025, information is circulating about Israel and its allies’ alleged readiness for a ground operation that goes beyond the aerial bombardment of the IRI.

The sequence of events indicates that the campaign unleashed by the political authorities of Armenia against Holy Etchmiadzin may  not be associated with the reasons declared by Nikol Pashinyan, who purportedly initiated the campaign to “purify” the Church from unholy ministers and “return it to its people”.

It appears that Azerbaijan's leadership, while seemingly refraining from openly escalating anti-Armenian rhetoric as the international community anticipates a peace treaty with Yerevan, may have authorized the Caucasus Muslim Administration (CMA) to undermine the peace process and potentially derail agreements.

The ARVAK Comment is devoted to the current situation around the Ukrainian conflict and the negotiation process between Russia and Ukraine through the mediation of the USA.