Publication
Turkey is pushed towards conflict with Iran
Current trends in the Middle East suggest a high probability of a conflict between the region's two most prominent Islamic nations: Turkey and Iran.
Azerbaijan under geopolitical scrutiny: Escalation dynamics and strategic considerations
A series of events in recent months, with Azerbaijan at their center, indicates that regional and global centers of power are increasing pressure on Baku. This trend of comprehensive coercion will likely persist until Ilham Aliyev, having exhausted his final resources for maneuver, settles in a definitive strategic direction.
On the causes of the “transit crisis” in Georgian-Armenian relations
Since mid-2025, the Republic of Armenia has faced increasing challenges in the area of transit of import and export goods through Georgian territory. In April of this year, Georgian customs services began initiated a systematic effort to impede the transportation of Armenian cognac and wines destined for the Russian and Belarusian markets .
M. Bogdanov’s resignation in RF’s foreign policy general agenda
On July 9, 2025, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed two decrees, one of which dismissed Mikhail Bogdanov from his position of Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, and the second – from the duties of the Russian leader’s Special Envoy for the Middle East and African countries.
On some aspects of erosion of Russian influence within Azerbaijan’s political system
The new and unprecedented round of Russian-Azerbaijani political and diplomatic escalation has revealed a significant asymmetry in the influence mechanisms between the countries.
Israel on the cusp of full-scale intervention in Syria
In the second decade of July 2025, the situation surrounding Syria’s Druze communities reached a critical point of tension. Raids by Arab-Bedouin militias in Druze-populated areas of Syria, particularly in the As-Suwayda governorate, instigated large-scale clashes.
U.S. foreign policy priorities: China
According to the South China Morning Post, which refers to some “informed sources”, during a meeting in Brussels with Kaja Kallas, the head of the European Union (EU) diplomacy, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) Wand Yi stated that “Beijing would not benefit from Russia’s defeat in the Ukrainian conflict” .
About the signals from Baku to change the regional security balance
The most radical of these reports was the statement by Eldar Namazov, former head of the Presidential Administration of Azerbaijan, which was released on July 3, 2025.
On the latest round of Russia–Azerbaijan encounter
The recent escalation in Russia–Azerbaijan relations, based on observable indicators, appears to be a deliberate rather than spontaneous development.
Destabilization of Iran as one of the “12-Day War” goals
The future of the fragile ceasefire reached by Israel and Iran with the “participation” of the United States is difficult to predict.
