On the Prospects of a Land Invasion into Iran
The possibility of a ground invasion of the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) remains a matter of debate. According to Middle East insider sources on June 16, 2025, information is circulating about Israel and its allies’ alleged readiness for a ground operation that goes beyond the aerial bombardment of the IRI.
The Caucasus Muslim Administration in Baku’s Anti-Armenian Strategy
It appears that Azerbaijan's leadership, while seemingly refraining from openly escalating anti-Armenian rhetoric as the international community anticipates a peace treaty with Yerevan, may have authorized the Caucasus Muslim Administration (CMA) to undermine the peace process and potentially derail agreements.
Demographic Reshape of Ukraine: Conspiracy or Reality?
The ARVAK Comment is devoted to the current situation around the Ukrainian conflict and the negotiation process between Russia and Ukraine through the mediation of the USA.
Shallowing of Caspian Sea in regional politics of RF and IRI campaign
Azerbaijan has expressed significant concern about the environmental situation in the Caspian Sea. In recent assessments experts have posited the cyclical nature of the current shallowing of the world’s largest closed reservoir.
On challenges confronting Turkey in Central Asia
Recent developments in Central Asia have highlighted significant challenges for Turkey’s foreign policy in the region.
Azerbaijan and the Turkish-Israeli consensus on the SAR
The Turkish-Israeli negotiations on Syrian issues, held in Baku on April 9, 2025, were expected, and therefore the information disseminated by the Azerbaijani media about the supposed ownership of their initiative by I. Aliyev is exaggerated.
I. Aliyev and R. Erdogan about to deepen alliance with Pakistan
According to the news in the Azerbaijani and Pakistani media, the leader of Azerbaijan I. Aliyev will make an official visit to Pakistan this month.
On another attempt to resuscitate the case of so-called “Zangezur Corridor”
On April 4, 2025 the President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen stated at the EU–Central Asia Summit held in Samarkand that “...the opening of the borders of Armenia with Turkey and Azerbaijan is going to be a game changer.
On the security of Syunik and the expected anti-Iranian campaign
The dynamics of the events around Iran once again updates the security problems of the Syunik region and the entire Armenia.
On the integration of France into the wake of British politics
On March 27, 2025 during the Paris Summit, also named the “coalition of the willing”, the French President E. Macron stated: “Europe needs Turkey, and Turkey needs Europe”.
Transnistrian issue in context of future agreements between USA and RF
We would venture to assume that the U.S.-Russian negotiations will last somewhat longer than the deadlines announced by Washington at the beginning of the process.
On inclusion of Turkey and Azerbaijan into anti-Iranian conflict
The analysis of the current situation in the Middle East suggests a direct connection between destabilization in Turkey and the plans of the United States and Israel to attack Iran.
Erdogan destroys his own initiative
On March 19, 2025, Turkish authorities detained the mayor of Istanbul, Ekrem Imamoglu, a member of the Republican People's Party (CHP).
The “Abrahamic Accords” in the context of Israel–Azerbaijan–Turkey relations
Since February 2025 Israel has actively begun the process of including Azerbaijan into the list of countries of the so-called “Abrahamic Accords”.
Russia May Face Negative Experience of the Karabakh Problem in Syria
On March 6, 2025, fierce fighting broke out in Syria between the “remnants of Assad's army”, including Alawite militia units, and the security forces of the new government in Damascus.
The Turkoman Factor in Ankara’s Syrian Policy
One of the main instruments of Turkey’s interference in Syria’s internal affairs is considered to be the “Turkoman factor”, used by Ankara to legitimize the actual expansion in relation to the Arab Republic.
Anti-Armenian Sentiments in Abkhazia in the context of the Turkey–Russia Confrontation
On the eve of the second round of the snap presidential elections scheduled for March 1, 2025, the situation in Abkhazia has become extremely tense.
American-Indian Initiatives and Turkey’s Foreign Policy
On 14.02.2025, a meeting took place in Washington between U.S. President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi took place in Washington.
Syria: The Kurdish Issue in the American-Turkish Agenda
Based on recent events in the region, Washington has refused Ankara’s request to disarm the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and dismantle the Kurdish administration of Rojava.
Internal Political Aspects of I. Aliyev’s Initiative toward Russia
The formal reason for the political-diplomatic conflict was an incident involving the crash of an Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL) passenger aircraft on December 25, 2024, in Aktau, Kazakhstan(2). Immediately after the crash, media outlets close to the Azerbaijan’s government placed all responsibility on the Russian side, accusing its air defense and civil aviation services of negligence and unprofessionalism.
