Abkhazia on the front line of the Russian-Turkish confrontation
In late January 2025, international media circulated a document with a request from a close associate of R. Erdogan, Turkish MP and the leader of the radical “Nationalist Movement Party” Devlet Bahceli, addressed to Turkish foreign minister Hakan Fidan.
The Syrian “window of missed opportunities”: features of RF’s half-hearted foreign policy strategy
By December 2024, RF defense minister Andrey Belousov outlined the priorities in the field of ensuring Russia’s security at an expanded meeting of the ministry’s board, noting “the fulfillment of individual tasks” and the military presence in Central Asia and Africa, the Caucasus, and Transnistria.
The Turkish aspect of the Arab-Israeli reconciliation
On January 19, 2025, a six-week ceasefire agreement between Israel and the Palestinian “radical group” Hamas came into effect in the Gaza Strip, aiming to end the 15-month-long war.
About some theses from I. Aliyev’s interview
The aggressive statements made by the president of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, during an interview with the local media on January 7, 2025, were quite unexpected.
“New Middle East” vs. “Ottoman Caliphate”
After the fall of the Bashar Assad regime, the contradictions between Turkey and Israel in Syria have intensified, revealing a fundamental divergence in their views on the future of the Middle East and, accordingly, their roles in its reorganization.
Turkish-Israeli confrontation in the context of the NATO strategy
On January 7, 2025, The Jerusalem Post acknowledged about a report prepared by the Nagel Committee (Defense Budget and Security Strategy Analysis Commission, established in 2024) for the Israeli government.
The crash of the AZAL liner in the context of I. Aliyev’s Russian policy
The crash of the Embraer E190 aircraft of the Azerbaijani airline AZAL on December 25, 2024, revealed the fact that, contrary to their declared statements, relations between Russia and Azerbaijan are experiencing a difficult period.
On Turkey’s new natural gas ambitions
After the collapse of B. Assad’s regime in Syria, there has been increased discussion in the global media about the “Qatar Gas Pipeline”, which is planned to run from the Persian Gulf to Europe.
Baku’s failure on the “Indian track”
On December 16, 2024, it became known that Baku was attempting to secure arms supply contracts with India through the mediation of a “third country”.
Crisis in Transnistria: possible scenarios
Ukraine’s decision to halt the transit of Russian gas to Europe as of January 1, 2025, will most severely impact Moldova.
On Turkey’s attempts to reconcile Azerbaijan and Armenia
The process of signing a peace agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan is currently delayed. Based on the limited information available about the negotiations, it is difficult to speak about the timing of the final stage, if it happens at all.
On the Russian Federation’s geopolitical combination on the Georgian-Abkhazian track
On December 14, 2024, presidential elections were held in Georgia under the new Constitutional law.
On the USA and Israel’s “Kurdish Project” within the “Syrian Case
Just a day after the fall of B. Assad’s regime, it became clear that the integrity of Syria is a challenging task. The processes that run counter to the interests of the Syrian sovereignty began much earlier.
Udis as a tool of Azerbaijani expansionism
At the end of November 2024, it became known that Azerbaijan has transferred the Armenian monastery complex of Dadivank in Artsakh to the administration of the Udi community of Azerbaijan.
Syria ready for negotiations with Turkey
A new element has emerged in the processes surrounding Syria. The main news following the fall of Aleppo is that B. Assad is ready to negotiate with R. Erdogan.
Syria on the brink of a global game
The events in Syria are developing rapidly. In just one week, the front configuration in the Arab Republic has reverted to the outlines of 2015–2020, Bashar al-Assad’s government controlled only Damascus, a part of Aleppo province, and the Mediterranean coastline.
Synchronous Crises in Abkhazia and Georgia
The almost simultaneous destabilization of the internal political situation in Georgia and Abkhazia cannot help but suggests a close interconnection between these two seemingly autonomous processes.
On the opportunity missed by I. Aliyev at COP29
Despite the skeptical assessments of international experts regarding the results of COP29, Baku is trying to show that the conference was absolutely fruitful, both in terms of the global climate agenda and the regional environmental issues of interest to Azerbaijan.
British-Azerbaijani tandem against France
Several Middle Eastern Arab sources claim that the campaign launched by Azerbaijan to “expose French neo-colonial policies” was initiated by the United Kingdom and coordinated from London.
Starting positions of the Armenian lobby under US President D. Trump
On November 9, 2024, the Executive Director of the Armenian National Committee of America (ANCA), Aram Hambaryan, announced that 90% of the candidates supported by the Armenian organization received mandates in the US House of Representatives.