Posts by ARVAK
About the signals from Baku to change the regional security balance
The most radical of these reports was the statement by Eldar Namazov, former head of the Presidential Administration of Azerbaijan, which was released on July 3, 2025.
On the latest round of Russia–Azerbaijan encounter
The recent escalation in Russia–Azerbaijan relations, based on observable indicators, appears to be a deliberate rather than spontaneous development.
Destabilization of Iran as one of the “12-Day War” goals
The future of the fragile ceasefire reached by Israel and Iran with the “participation” of the United States is difficult to predict.
On the goals of NAR’s actual abolition
On June 20, 2025, it became known that the Milli Majlis of Azerbaijan adopted in the first reading a bill according to which the Cabinet of Ministers of the Nakhijevan Autonomous Republic (NAR) will determine its work procedure “in agreement with the President of Azerbaijan”.
De-Christianization of the Middle East
The processes of geopolitical redivision in the Middle East, which began with the U.S. invasion of Iraq in March 2003, has had numerous unpredictable consequences. One of the most significant and alarming results has been the growing phenomenon – de-Christianization of the region.
On the Prospects of a Land Invasion into Iran
The possibility of a ground invasion of the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) remains a matter of debate. According to Middle East insider sources on June 16, 2025, information is circulating about Israel and its allies’ alleged readiness for a ground operation that goes beyond the aerial bombardment of the IRI.
The Caucasus Muslim administration in Baku’s Anti-Armenian Strategy
It appears that Azerbaijan's leadership, while seemingly refraining from openly escalating anti-Armenian rhetoric as the international community anticipates a peace treaty with Yerevan, may have authorized the Caucasus Muslim Administration (CMA) to undermine the peace process and potentially derail agreements.
On Israel’s plans to deport Palestinians from Gaza by force
Alexander A. Svarants(1)(2)
1. The end of the Gaza Strip war...
Demographic Reshape of Ukraine: Conspiracy or Reality?
The ARVAK Comment is devoted to the current situation around the Ukrainian conflict and the negotiation process between Russia and Ukraine through the mediation of the USA.
Shallowing of Caspian Sea in regional politics of RF and IRI campaign
Azerbaijan has expressed significant concern about the environmental situation in the Caspian Sea. In recent assessments experts have posited the cyclical nature of the current shallowing of the world’s largest closed reservoir.
