Posts by ARVAK
De-Christianization of the Middle East
The processes of geopolitical redivision in the Middle East, which began with the U.S. invasion of Iraq in March 2003, has had numerous unpredictable consequences. One of the most significant and alarming results has been the growing phenomenon – de-Christianization of the region.
On the Prospects of a Land Invasion into Iran
The possibility of a ground invasion of the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) remains a matter of debate. According to Middle East insider sources on June 16, 2025, information is circulating about Israel and its allies’ alleged readiness for a ground operation that goes beyond the aerial bombardment of the IRI.
The Caucasus Muslim administration in Baku’s Anti-Armenian Strategy
It appears that Azerbaijan's leadership, while seemingly refraining from openly escalating anti-Armenian rhetoric as the international community anticipates a peace treaty with Yerevan, may have authorized the Caucasus Muslim Administration (CMA) to undermine the peace process and potentially derail agreements.
On Israel’s plans to deport Palestinians from Gaza by force
Alexander A. Svarants(1)(2)
1. The end of the Gaza Strip war...
Demographic Reshape of Ukraine: Conspiracy or Reality?
The ARVAK Comment is devoted to the current situation around the Ukrainian conflict and the negotiation process between Russia and Ukraine through the mediation of the USA.
Shallowing of Caspian Sea in regional politics of RF and IRI campaign
Azerbaijan has expressed significant concern about the environmental situation in the Caspian Sea. In recent assessments experts have posited the cyclical nature of the current shallowing of the world’s largest closed reservoir.
On challenges confronting Turkey in Central Asia
Recent developments in Central Asia have highlighted significant challenges for Turkey’s foreign policy in the region.
Azerbaijan and the Turkish-Israeli consensus on the SAR
The Turkish-Israeli negotiations on Syrian issues, held in Baku on April 9, 2025, were expected, and therefore the information disseminated by the Azerbaijani media about the supposed ownership of their initiative by I. Aliyev is exaggerated.
I. Aliyev and R. Erdogan about to deepen alliance with Pakistan
According to the news in the Azerbaijani and Pakistani media, the leader of Azerbaijan I. Aliyev will make an official visit to Pakistan this month.
On another attempt to resuscitate the case of so-called “Zangezur Corridor”
On April 4, 2025 the President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen stated at the EU–Central Asia Summit held in Samarkand that “...the opening of the borders of Armenia with Turkey and Azerbaijan is going to be a game changer.
