Posts by ARVAK

On July 9, 2025, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed two decrees, one of which dismissed Mikhail Bogdanov from his position of Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, and the second – from the duties of the Russian leader’s Special Envoy for the Middle East and African countries.

The new and unprecedented round of Russian-Azerbaijani political and diplomatic escalation has revealed a significant asymmetry in the influence mechanisms between the countries.

In the second decade of July 2025, the situation surrounding Syria’s Druze communities reached a critical point of tension. Raids by Arab-Bedouin militias in Druze-populated areas of Syria, particularly in the As-Suwayda governorate, instigated large-scale clashes.

According to the South China Morning Post, which refers to some “informed sources”, during a meeting in Brussels with Kaja Kallas, the head of the European Union (EU) diplomacy, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) Wand Yi stated that “Beijing would not benefit from Russia’s defeat in the Ukrainian conflict” .

The most radical of these reports was the statement by Eldar Namazov, former head of the Presidential Administration of Azerbaijan, which was released on July 3, 2025.

The recent escalation in Russia–Azerbaijan relations, based on observable indicators, appears to be a deliberate rather than spontaneous development.

The future of the fragile ceasefire reached by Israel and Iran with the “participation” of the United States is difficult to predict.

On June 20, 2025, it became known that the Milli Majlis of Azerbaijan adopted in the first reading a bill according to which the Cabinet of Ministers of the Nakhijevan Autonomous Republic (NAR) will determine its work procedure “in agreement with the President of Azerbaijan”.

The processes of geopolitical redivision in the Middle East, which began with the U.S. invasion of Iraq in March 2003, has had numerous unpredictable consequences. One of the most significant and alarming results has been the growing phenomenon – de-Christianization of the region.

The possibility of a ground invasion of the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) remains a matter of debate. According to Middle East insider sources on June 16, 2025, information is circulating about Israel and its allies’ alleged readiness for a ground operation that goes beyond the aerial bombardment of the IRI.